Morgan Asset Management: Trump's economic policy is generally beneficial to the US economy to maintain the "overweight" rating on US stocks and credit. Sheng Nan, global multi-asset strategist of Morgan Asset Management, said that it is expected that the economic policy of US President-elect Trump will be generally beneficial to the local economy, but the implementation order of specific policies will also determine the growth trajectory in the next two years. Sheng Nan mentioned that Trump pays more attention to deregulation and measures to boost finance by extending tax cuts, which will improve business confidence, open capital markets and accelerate growth and return on assets. However, if the focus is on immigration and tariff policies, the interruption of labor supply or trade may have negative consequences, inhibit economic growth and lead to asset market fluctuations. Sheng Nan believes that despite the above uncertainties, the US economy is expected to grow strongly next year, and the local GDP will not slow down to 2% until the fourth quarter of next year, so he maintains the "overweight" rating on US stocks and credit.An increase of 91.3%! In the first 11 months, there were more than 33.1 million people entering and leaving Shanghai port. Since last year, China has successively introduced or resumed various visa-free policies, and the level of entry and exit facilitation has been continuously improved. From January to November this year, Shanghai Border Inspection Station inspected 247,000 inbound and outbound means of transport at Shanghai Port, and inspected more than 33.1 million passengers, up 43.6% and 91.3% respectively over the same period last year. (CCTV News)Wang Tao, UBS: It is expected that the Central Economic Work Conference will focus on the short-term policy package. Recently, the market highly expects the Central Economic Work Conference to guide the high-quality economic development of China next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research at UBS and chief China economist, said: "I expect that the Central Economic Work Conference may focus on the short-term policy package in 2025 and 2026, but it will also emphasize accelerating some reform measures already outlined at the Third Plenary Session." Wang Tao believes that the next important reform measures may include providing better protection and access for the private economy, deepening the reform of state-owned enterprises to improve efficiency and governance, promoting household registration reform to improve the welfare of migrant workers, strengthening the social security network, and carrying out fiscal and taxation reforms to solve local fiscal revenue problems. "I think structural, deeper and faster reforms will be very important, not only to attract foreign investment, but also to boost domestic confidence." (China Daily)
Taobao responded to the netizen's 12 missing BMW cars: it's not fraud, it's really lucky. Recently, in the treasure-digging operation of Taobao Double 12, a 92-year-old girl from Shaanxi won a limited edition BMW motorcycle for 12.12 yuan. When interviewed, the girl said that she thought it was a model or a fraud, and she was worried that she had concerns without a driver's license. Taobao responded: "It's not fraud, it's your luck." He also expressed his willingness to add fire to the lucky young lady to go out and see, contract all the driver's license test fees and vehicle delivery fees, and ensure safety after the driver's license test. (Observer Network)Hanyu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Longma Technology. Recently, Hanyu Biotechnology (Dali) Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Hanyu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Longma Technology Group. The two sides will cooperate in the medical application of industrial cannabis and drug research and development around drugs and cannabinoids.A laboratory in Australia lost hundreds of deadly virus samples. It is reported that a laboratory in Australia lost hundreds of deadly virus samples, causing a "major loophole" in biosafety. On December 8th, Queensland Health Minister announced that there are currently 323 bottles of live virus missing. These include nearly 100 bottles of Hendra virus, two bottles of Hantavirus and 223 bottles of rabies virus-all of which are extremely deadly to human beings. The Queensland authorities insist that although these samples can be used as weapons, it is "not something that amateurs can do". The sample was lost in 2021, but investigators did not confirm the leak until August 2023. Queensland authorities waited for a year before being allowed to open the freezer where the samples were stored, and only this month were they able to confirm that the samples were lost. It is not clear where these samples may be or whether they have been destroyed. However, there is no evidence that the public is at risk of infection because of the disappearance of samples.
CICC: Xiamen Tungsten Industry will be successfully issued, and resource development and high-end production capacity construction are expected to accelerate. According to the research report of CICC, Xiamen Tungsten Industry (600549.SH) will be successfully issued, and resource development and high-end production capacity construction are expected to accelerate. It is worth noting that the final issue price of this fundraising is 20.80 yuan/share, which is 28.87% higher than the reserve price, and 3.35% lower than the closing price of 21.52 yuan/share on November 6, the first day of the issuance period. After the completion of the issuance, the company is expected to accelerate the development of tungsten resources and the construction of downstream high-end production capacity, and strengthen profit growth. Considering the impact of stock issuance, the net profit of returning to the mother in 2024 will remain unchanged at 1.92 billion yuan, and the net profit of returning to the mother in 2025 will be raised by 1.7% to 2.25 billion yuan, and CAGR+18.6% from 2023 to 2025. Raise the target price by 17% to 24.1 yuan.After 112 bids, part of the rights and interests of this 3A hospital in Chongqing were successfully auctioned at a price of 958 million yuan. The buyer was a Liaoning enterprise. On December 10, the auction of part of the rights and interests of the organizer of a 3A hospital in Chongqing, which had received much attention before, was finally sold at a price of 958 million yuan. According to the information of the judicial auction of Ali assets, the rights and interests of the organizer of the Third Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University (Jier Hospital) held by Chongqing Hanxin Hospital Management Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "the Third Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University") accounted for 65% of the rights and interests of the organizer. There were two bidders in the auction. The person in charge of Ali's asset-related business told reporters that many interested parties had consulted the platform before this auction. Although only two people signed up for this auction, the bidding process was fierce. Two bidders bid 112 times, and the bidding range was 3 million yuan each time. "The bidder with the final bid number of H0003 sold at a high price of 958 million yuan, which was 333 million yuan higher than the starting price. The premium rate of this auction reached 53.28%." The person in charge said. The "Confirmation of Successful Online Bidding" issued by Ali Assets shows that the bidder with the bidding number H0003 is named Liaoning Fangda Group Industrial Co., Ltd. In other words, this online auction was finally won by Liaoning Fangda Group Industrial Co., Ltd.. (Red Star News)A number of private placements are optimistic about the market at the end of the year, and the two major directions are favored. Recently, A-shares have fluctuated, and the latest strategies of a number of first-line private placements for investment at the end of the year and the beginning of the year have been released one after another. A number of private placements are optimistic about the market at the end of the year. Kou Zhiwei, a partner of chongyang investment, said that the "strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" proposed by the policy at the end of the year inspired market confidence. At present, compared with the end of September, the market has a large increase, and the market has fully expected and priced the policy overweight. The further rise of the short-term market may need the support of strong economic recovery data. Lei, deputy general manager and chief strategic investment official of Xingshi Investment, said that the current positive factors in the stock market are still accumulating, and the fundamentals, policies and funds are all supported. Judging from the recent overall investment trends of private placement, the reporter found that maintaining medium and high positions and maintaining high flexibility of portfolios have become the strategic focus of current private placement institutions. Judging from the specific optimistic investment direction at the end of the year, according to the comprehensive interview with private equity, consumption and technology are relatively more popular at present. (CSI Taurus)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14